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2024-12-13 04:59:12

The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.On the evening of December 7th, Xinhua News Agency published an article "What do you think about the steady growth of monetary policy-the fifth question and answer on China's current economy". The article is concise, and the future monetary policy will continue to intensify counter-cyclical regulation and control, continuously improve the accuracy and effectiveness of supporting the real economy, and create a good monetary and financial environment for stable economic growth and structural optimization and adjustment.Friday's market was flat before 10:30, so the market enthusiasm was ignited again, thus the increase in volume broke through this triangle arrangement.


The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.Long-term direction: real estate, kitchen appliances, chicken raising, food, zinc, good free cash flow, high dividends, high dividends, and growth (don't blindly pursue high dividends, be wary of varieties with high dividends and low dividends, and wait for the callback to stabilize and intervene).This shows that the funds in the market are recognized for such expectations, so it is definitely no problem to rely on expectations here. Naturally, it is no problem to see effective breakthroughs. Unless there is nothing beyond expectations at the meeting, the market may fall back into the triangle arrangement again, otherwise it will continue to be optimistic.


Before the US stock market closed on Friday (December 6), the employment situation report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the non-agricultural sector rebounded sharply in November, which was stronger than market expectations, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% as scheduled. According to specific data, the number of non-agricultural employees in the United States increased by 227,000 in November after the seasonal adjustment, the largest increase since March, higher than the market expectation of 200,000, and the data in October was revised from 12,000 to 36,000.According to market sources, a number of photovoltaic companies have signed a self-discipline convention. In this regard, a number of photovoltaic module battery companies confirmed to reporters that they have participated in the signing of the self-discipline convention. The relevant quotas will be set from next month based on the shipments and production capacity of various enterprises this year.While the market is gradually standardized, we can also see the long-term trend of the market from the side, and it is more oriented to return to the value itself. Therefore, we should also make preparations in advance and move closer to this direction. When the market clearly turns in this direction, there may be no good opportunities.

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